Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 91879.457567 96903.996510 101926.829297 107321.315811 112947.544497 118638.980155 124828.097815
2025-11-23 83311.776567 90953.034580 98803.347878 107460.965670 116730.605972 126347.396283 137068.076638
2025-11-30 78216.016815 87724.049781 97701.876898 108932.390279 121199.416374 134170.243692 148900.516722
2025-12-07 74017.048101 84917.686412 96561.979930 109891.721759 124693.053300 140588.561385 158913.521887
2025-12-14 69972.825972 81909.668722 94862.774099 109912.624624 126865.250927 145317.690557 166867.363051
2025-12-21 66705.239077 79515.496721 93614.138500 110213.777179 129151.702883 150011.416646 174650.769902
2025-12-28 64658.965512 78345.187683 93599.835409 111774.256680 132744.136013 156085.277976 183932.018344
2026-01-04 62612.446634 77038.089732 93308.696906 112908.357535 135760.572908 161444.037416 192367.355799
2026-01-11 60538.970182 75581.863566 92740.626281 113626.378322 138218.779375 166109.243537 199977.926197
2026-01-18 58366.424845 73902.002128 91815.486532 113838.156437 140013.413479 169955.026780 206609.414533
2026-01-25 56419.909014 72403.833040 91025.193870 114135.412866 141847.504281 173804.238273 213222.947881
2026-02-01 54511.806807 70871.781909 90121.977512 114230.787283 143386.627274 177268.655026 219364.587736
2026-02-08 53293.107301 70152.055931 90178.012240 115475.148489 146313.846522 182412.331176 227565.983938
2026-02-15 51503.242525 68661.395556 89240.509784 115464.749407 147693.672015 185696.531992 233556.338765
2026-02-22 50597.909522 68237.122690 89579.377648 116991.957880 150928.052557 191207.668083 242244.261243
2026-03-01 49501.220166 67526.173439 89525.024344 118002.052692 153509.597439 195926.505178 249991.523687
2026-03-08 47998.224045 66244.268987 88710.265089 118022.762289 154837.856473 199102.845569 255861.400113
2026-03-15 46717.302369 65204.632621 88161.409648 118341.698867 156509.650223 202685.180326 262229.921114
2026-03-22 46115.020995 65022.009367 88680.373889 119995.681236 159845.694121 208323.225015 271153.710343
2026-03-29 45345.555560 64591.150938 88858.095252 121197.617505 162605.424614 213254.294658 279228.117405
2026-04-05 44422.972541 63926.798530 88708.488032 121958.526644 164794.291408 217475.247393 286436.973895
2026-04-12 43315.086027 62981.272928 88163.653049 122182.945217 166281.046917 220810.781899 292547.552412
2026-04-19 42295.235823 62123.897173 87706.969122 122497.937440 167867.020592 224264.828395 298815.123829